THE EFFECT OF INFLATION TARGETING REGIME ON GOVERNMENT CURRENT (CONSUMPTION) EXPENDITURES AND OUTPUT GAP IN TURKEY

Abstract

Inflation targeting regime is a modern monetary policy strategy, which is applied to maintain and sustain price stability. Inflation targeting regime doesn’t only decrease the inflation rate. It affects many variables from interest rates to investments, from public expenditures to production and national income and is also affected from these variables. In this study, it is tried to investigate the inflation targeting effects on government consumption expenditures and output gap by using of Autoregressive Integrated Moving Averag (ARIMA) model. The data set covers the period from January, 1998 to September, 2013. The empirical results of the study show that inflation targeting has positive and significant effect on government consumption expenditures and output gap.