THE IMPACT OF ECONOMIC EXPECTATION, SOCIAL CAPITAL AND HOPE ON MIGRATION REQUEST AND ACTION

Şerafettin  KELEŞ

doi:10.15637/jlecon.8.1.05

Authors

Şerafettin KELEŞ Erzincan Üniversitesi/TÜRKİYE 0000-0002-5147-0825

10.15637/jlecon.8.1.05

Abstract

In this study, the factors affecting the request and action of migration are examined with empirical method within the scope of neoclassical economic theories and behavioral economic thought. A survey of a selected sample was analyzed with structural equation modeling. There was a linear relationship between migration and economic expectation, social capital and hope. It was found that the Economic Expectation Variable had a very strong negative effect on individuals' decision to immigrate and desire to migrate (γ = -0.99; t = -17.87). Hope variable has a very strong negative effect on individuals' migration decision and desire to migrate (γ = -0.96; t = -13.66). The Social Capital Secret Variable has a negatively moderate effect on individuals' decision to immigrate and desire to migrate (γ = -0.48; t = -8.19). It was seen that economic and political conjuncture was effective in the decision of migration of individuals.

JEL codes: A12, B55, C25, E71, F22

Keywords:

Economic Impact Hope Social Capital Behavioral Economics Migration

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