THE IMPACT OF ECONOMIC EXPECTATION, SOCIAL CAPITAL AND HOPE ON MIGRATION REQUEST AND ACTION

Şerafettin  KELEŞ

doi:10.15637/jlecon.8.1.05

Authors

Şerafettin KELEŞ Erzincan Üniversitesi/TÜRKİYE https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5147-0825

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.15637/jlecon.8.1.05

Keywords:

Economic Impact, Hope, Social Capital, Behavioral Economics, Migration

Abstract

In this study, the factors affecting the request and action of migration are examined with empirical method within the scope of neoclassical economic theories and behavioral economic thought. A survey of a selected sample was analyzed with structural equation modeling. There was a linear relationship between migration and economic expectation, social capital and hope. It was found that the Economic Expectation Variable had a very strong negative effect on individuals' decision to immigrate and desire to migrate (γ = -0.99; t = -17.87). Hope variable has a very strong negative effect on individuals' migration decision and desire to migrate (γ = -0.96; t = -13.66). The Social Capital Secret Variable has a negatively moderate effect on individuals' decision to immigrate and desire to migrate (γ = -0.48; t = -8.19). It was seen that economic and political conjuncture was effective in the decision of migration of individuals.

JEL codes: A12, B55, C25, E71, F22

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